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Policy & Regulation · Knowledge & Resources

Shaping the rules Africa will trade under

The standards, methodologies and market rules being written today will decide which climate action counts, whose credits corporates can buy, and whose growth pathways are recognised as legitimate. CAP-A works with African stakeholders and partners to get African realities into those rules while the text can still change — not retrofitted after they are set.

The rules are being written now — largely without Africa in the room.

Right now, in rooms most African stakeholders will never sit in, the rules that decide which climate action counts are being finalised. Once locked in, they hold for a decade or more.

Africa is not short of what these markets need — land carbon at scale, the renewable resource to host removals and low-carbon industry, more of the world's remaining mitigation potential than any other region. What it is short of is a say in the fine print. And the fine print is where its potential can be lost: what is in scope, who is eligible, what proof is demanded and in what form, what compliance costs, how risk is priced. No one sets out to exclude a continent, but without engagement, this can happen through clauses.

If African perspectives are not fed in while the text can still change, the rules will be set by others — and locked in.

CAP-A helps bridge that gap.

We track a focused set of the consultations that matter most, read the draft text clause by clause, and translate it into what is actually at stake for African project developers, producers and governments.

Then we act: making formal submissions, publishing stakeholder briefs with ready-to-use comment language, convening the actors who need to align, and supporting national and regional positions so that African input arrives where decisions are made — on time, in the right form, and with technical weight.

We do this constructively. Our proposals are not asks for weaker standards; they are more accurate and equally rigorous routes to the same integrity — designed so that no sector or geography is excluded by default.

A systemic perspective

No single rule decides Africa's market access. Standards, methodologies, accounting frameworks and demand-side regulation interlock — a provision secured in one forum can be undone by a definition in another. That is why we work across connected processes, carrying consistent positions between them.

Knowing which rules are changing is one thing. Knowing which of them are worth scarce time and effort is another — and being able to act on them before the window closes is another again.

We keep a running view of the rules in development and assess each one: how much it matters, how far it shapes African market access, and whether there is still a route to feed input in. That assessment, tested with the stakeholders closest to each process, is how we decide where to engage. Then we engage, and put substantive input into the text. The areas below are where that work sits.

Supply-side rules

Crediting methodologies and integrity tools — like the Article 6.4 mechanism — determine which African projects can generate credits, and at what cost.

Demand-side standards

Corporate net-zero and reporting standards — ISO, GHG Protocol — decide which instruments buyers may use, creating or closing demand for African supply.

Trade & regulation

Measures like the EU CBAM and the EU's use of international credits set the terms on which African production and credits enter major markets.

Market practice

Buyer behaviour, integrity frameworks and project economics decide whether participation on paper becomes commercial viability in practice.

Our engagement

Where we've weighed in

Each entry sets out what the process is, what we proposed, and why it matters for African participation. The issues remain live; our submissions and inputs below have been made.

Relationship view
Explore by forum
UNFCCC · Article 6.4 / PACMSubmitted

The Article 6.4 Rulebook: opening the mechanism to Africa's pipeline

The Methodological Expert Panel released draft methodologies operationalising the Programme of Activities framework — plus the mechanism's first sampling and reversal-risk tools. It opens the door to the small, bundled projects that make up most of Africa's pipeline, paired with stricter rules requiring adjustment.

Why it matters

As drafted, risk is priced by geography and eligibility by infrastructure: reversal-risk deductions can differ between countries on governance proxies rather than demonstrated risk, and projects can fall out of scope because complete national data systems do not yet exist.

What we proposed
  • Evidence-based reversal-risk calibration: human-induced risk values should be uniform across jurisdictions unless a clear causal link between a country-specific factor and actual reversal is demonstrated — governance or political-risk proxies should not, on their own, differentiate deductions between countries.
  • Workable leakage data routes: a conservative default leakage value projects can apply where country-specific data or complete national forest-monitoring systems don't yet exist — set low enough to keep the incentive to upgrade, so no project is ineligible solely because national systems are not yet in place.
VCM+ Collaborative
ISO · Net Zero Standard (ISO 14060)Brief circulated

The ISO Net Zero Standard: what is at stake for Africa

ISO's first full standard defining what a credible corporate net-zero claim requires — reduction targets, removals, carbon credits and climate finance. Expected in 2027, it is likely to be the global benchmark for a decade, making it decisive for African credit suppliers.

Why it matters

The draft's design choices decide which African credits buyers may use, whether finance obligations create revenue for African mitigation and adaptation, and to what extent commodity certificates carry demand-side value.

What we did and proposed
  • Reviewed the Draft International Standard through the lens of what matters most for Africa, and published a stakeholder brief with clause-by-clause positions and ready-to-use comment language for national submissions.
  • Defend the hard-won provisions: a binding corporate climate-finance obligation, nature-based removals recognised throughout, reduction credits usable for excess emissions, accessible entry points for startups, and differentiated net-zero timelines for emerging economies.
  • Fix what would exclude Africa: give environmental commodity certificates real weight — removing the same-region restriction and recognising their use towards net-zero targets, guarded by rules on integrity — and replace the rigid two-year credit-retirement cut-off with quality criteria applied at retirement.
  • Supported stakeholders to engage through national standards bodies, and encouraged coordination of a consolidated African position through regional and national channels.
VCM+ CollaborativeNCSARethinking RemovalsWest African AllianceEastern Africa Alliance
GHG Protocol · Actions & Market InstrumentsSubmitted

GHG Protocol AMI Standard: making market instruments work for EMDE suppliers

The GHG Protocol is developing a new standard for how companies account for climate actions and market instruments, proposing a multi-statement reporting structure — a physical inventory, a market-based inventory, an impact statement, and non-GHG indicators.

Why it matters

Eligibility and traceability choices made are not neutral: they determine which sectors and geographies can supply qualifying instruments. African producers of low-emission commodities stand to gain — or to be nominally in scope but practically excluded.

What we proposed
  • Strong support for the multi-statement structure, including the market-based inventory and a legitimate, transparent home for consequential accounting.
  • Chain-of-custody rules designed for real contexts — recognising book-and-claim and mass-balance models for agricultural commodity certificates where strict physical traceability would create disproportionate barriers.
  • Cost of compliance treated as a design criterion alongside integrity, so smaller and lower-resourced producers are not excluded regardless of the quality of their climate action.
  • Representation in the technical working group from project developers and organisations across geographies — grounded in African cases such as smallholder commodity programmes and low-carbon cement production.
VCM+ Collaborative
Convening · London Climate Action WeekConvened

LCAW: from diagnosis to action on carbon market participation

At London Climate Action Week we designed and convened a joint working session on the current market architecture and how it shapes participation — who shapes the market, what shapes what's investable, and what development really costs in practice.

Why it matters

Most African developers sit in the gap between project viability and market access: technically capable, verified and listed — yet unable to reach buyers at scale. Access to the process is not the same as agency over outcomes.

What the session delivered
  • A shared diagnostic — the “participation gap” — mapping actors from the structurally excluded to those in the pipeline but out of the market, and where the system fails each.
  • An examination of the structural asymmetry in rule-setting: who designs the rules that govern carbon markets, and who is expected to adapt to them.
  • Grounding in real project economics: pricing, risk allocation, revenue certainty and capital access as they present to developers and investors today.
  • A closing working agreement: a set of actor-specific actions, each with a named owner and a credible pathway for follow-up beyond LCAW — not a communiqué.
HightideVCM+ CollaborativeVCMIRethinking RemovalsEDFWest African Alliance
European Union · CBAMSubmitted

EU CBAM: recognising carbon prices paid in third countries

The EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism prices the embedded emissions of imports in covered sectors. The European Commission consulted on how carbon prices paid in third countries — including through carbon credits — should be recognised and deducted from CBAM liability.

Why it matters

How “carbon price paid” is defined determines whether African carbon pricing instruments and credits count at the EU border — shaping both the competitiveness of African exports and the value of African carbon markets.

What we did
  • Made a formal submission to the European Commission's consultation on CBAM and carbon prices paid in third countries, setting out how recognition should work so that African carbon pricing and credits are not excluded by design.
  • Argued that recognition rules should reward genuine decarbonisation in African production rather than penalising exporters for MRV and data infrastructure gaps they did not create.
  • Worked alongside African policymakers as they prepared their own submissions to the same consultation, strengthening the African voice in the process.
VCM+ Collaborative
European Union · 2040 targetSubmitted

The EU's use of international credits: a demand signal Africa can answer

The EU's proposed 2040 climate framework opens the door to a limited share of high-quality international carbon credits counting toward the target. It would be one of the largest structured demand signals ever created for international carbon markets — and the legal framework governing it is being written now.

Why it matters

Where the quality and eligibility criteria land, and which credit classes qualify, will determine whether African supply — including nature-based removals, the continent's comparative advantage — can compete for that demand on its merits.

What we did
  • Submitted to the Commission's consultation on the legal framework for the possible use of international carbon credits toward the 2040 EU climate target, making the case for quality criteria that gatekeep on integrity rather than on credit category or geography.
  • Submitted to the parallel consultation on national targets and flexibilities in the EU climate policy framework after 2030, so the flexibility is workable in practice.
  • Published early thought leadership when the international-credit flexibility was first announced, framing what it could mean for African supply.
VCM+ Collaborative
VC

VCM+ Collaborative

Coalition partner across our full policy and standards agenda — from Article 6.4 and ISO to EU regulation.

6 engagements together

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NC

Natural Climate Solutions Alliance

Collaboration on defending the recognition of nature-based removals in the ISO Net Zero Standard.

1 engagement together

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R

Rethinking Removals

Collaboration on the ISO Net Zero Standard and our London Climate Action Week convening.

2 engagements together

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W

West African Alliance

Regional alliance on carbon markets and climate finance — collaboration on the ISO Net Zero Standard and LCAW.

2 engagements together

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E

Eastern Africa Alliance

Regional alliance on carbon markets and climate finance — collaboration on the ISO Net Zero Standard.

1 engagement together

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H

Hightide

Partner in designing and delivering our London Climate Action Week session on carbon market participation.

1 engagement together

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VI

VCMI

Voluntary Carbon Markets Integrity Initiative — collaboration on our London Climate Action Week convening.

1 engagement together

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ED

Environmental Defense Fund

Collaboration on our London Climate Action Week convening on carbon market participation.

1 engagement together

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Engaging with one of these processes?

Our briefs, submissions and comment language are built to be used. If you are preparing a position, coordinating a regional response, or want to understand what a draft rule means for your context, we are glad to compare notes.

We would rather not have only a few African voices in these rooms. Every additional submission from the continent — a government, a regional alliance, a developer, a national standards body — carries weight that ours alone cannot. It matters when a position arrives from several directions at once.

So if you are thinking about engaging and are not sure where to start, which window is still open, or what a submission needs to look like, get in touch with us and we would be happy to provide clarity.

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